08 April 2024

Daily Newsletter

Boeing Southwest Airlines Aircraft Suffers Mid-Flight Incident

The Facts

  • Following an incident on Sunday, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has launched an investigation after a Southwest Airlines aircraft suffered damage to one of its wing flaps due to the detachment of an engine cowling on a Boeing 737-800.

  • Passengers could see the engine cover ripped apart, with a torn Southwest emblem blowing in the wind. Passengers watched as the cover was being pulled off and flew over the plane's wing.


The Spin

Narrative A

The foundation of every aircraft business is safety. Boeing has received great criticism as the airplane manufacturer has been involved in numerous incidents lately. So far, we know that the responsibility for the maintenance of Southwest Flight 3695 lies with Southwest Airlines. The FAA investigation will find out what happened and where the responsibility lies. Luckily, no one was hurt, and all passengers could land safely.

Narrative B

Boeing is again under scrutiny after Sunday's incident. The company is under investigation after fatal Boeing 737 MAX accidents in 2018 and 2019. and the US Department of Justice is currently investigating Alaska Airlines' Boeing 737 Max mid-flight rupture. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is rightly auditing Boeing and the the litany of serious issues continues to rack up.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the next commercial supersonic flight will occur by November 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Report: At Least 17 Killed in Clashes in Southern Syria

The Facts

  • At least 17 people were killed in clashes on Sunday in Syria's Southern Daraa province following an explosion that killed a group of children, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

  • The dead reportedly include three family members of Ahmad al-Labbad, the alleged leader of an armed group formerly working for a state security service, 12 of his fighters, a former Islamic State (IS) group member, and a civilian.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Waging war against his own people for 13 years, Syrian dictator Assad is ultimately responsible for the latest killings in Daraa. Clashes have been escalating again for months, as the regime feels reinforced since the Arab League welcomed Assad back into the fold. Added to this is Russia, further undermining the UN- and Western-led efforts for change in Damascus. Until pressure on the Assad regime is ramped up again, the killing and humanitarian catastrophe in Syria will continue.

Establishment-critical narrative

The latest casualties are a reminder that war is still raging in Syria, for which foreign powers are primarily responsible. Since 2011, certain countries have sought to advance their geopolitical interests by destabilizing the country, but the ultimate goal of regime change failed. Syrians are demanding their country's full sovereignty, unity, and territorial integrity, including the withdrawal of US occupation forces. Until then, the fight for freedom and against terror will continue.

Nerd narrative

There is a 45% chance that three mainstream American news outlets will report that a rebel group perpetrated the 2013 Ghouta Chemical Attack before Aug. 21, 2033, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

UK: Pfizer Accused of Promoting 'Unlicensed' COVID Vaccine

The Facts

  • A UK watchdog has accused Pfizer of damaging the pharmaceutical industry's reputation by promoting an unlicensed COVID vaccine on X, formerly Twitter, breaching regulatory codes.

  • The Prescription Medicines Code of Practice Authority was referring to a November 2020 tweet by a US-based Pfizer official when the platform was still called Twitter.


The Spin

Narrative A

It's all too easy to accuse Pfizer of occasional mistakes years after things turned normal post-COVID. The company, which once swiftly produced a COVID vaccine and achieved record-breaking sales to pull the world back from the brink of a pandemic catastrophe, now faces a natural market downturn. This only highlights the unpredictable and thankless nature of the health industry.

Narrative B

Pfizer clearly played along with attempts to exaggerate its COVID vaccine's efficacy, violating consumer protection laws. It may deny the claims, but there's no escaping responsibility when its own senior executives spread such disinformation on social media — especially at a crucial moment during the pandemic. The world's courts must take the company to task.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that per the median of the first three published peer-reviewed studies, the vaccine effectiveness of three doses of Pfizer against hospitalization caused by Omicron will be at least 88.5%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Israel Pulls Troops From Khan Younis

The Facts

  • The Israel Defense Force (IDF) Sunday announced that its 98th Division had concluded its mission and was withdrawing from the city of Khan Younis in southern Gaza after months of intense fighting.

  • At the beginning of the war, Khan Younis served as a safe haven for Palestinians fleeing northern Gaza. In December, however, residents and refugees were told to evacuate as Israeli forces entered the area.


The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

Israel's withdrawal decision shows it has achieved many of its goals and will now focus on potential Hamas enclaves in other parts of the Strip. Although the IDF may need to enter Rafah, Palestinians are now free to move throughout southern Gaza and Khan Younis.

Pro-Palestine narrative

This withdrawal is nothing to celebrate for the Palestinians from southern Gaza. Besides dozens of thousands left dead, those alive have no place to return nor the ability to retrieve the bodies of their slain neighbors as a result of Israel's abhorrent bombing campaign.

Nerd narrative

There's a 68% chance that Israel will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Brazil Supreme Court Justice Puts Elon Musk Under Investigation

The Facts

  • Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes on Sunday included Elon Musk as a target in the country's ongoing inquiry on the so-called digital militias and opened a separate investigation into him for obstruction of justice and incitement of crime.

  • This comes as over the weekend, Musk called for the judge to "resign or be impeached" and declared that X, formerly known as Twitter, would reinstate accounts in defiance of alleged unconstitutional court orders.


The Spin

Left narrative

Elon Musk, who cast himself as a free speech crusader, has shown his utter disregard for both the democratic rule of law, as he has outrageously sought to meddle in the internal affairs of a sovereign nation with his recent spate of attacks on the judiciary. Now more than ever, it's clear why social media must be subject to regulation.

Right narrative

As free speech has come under attack around the free world, Brazil has served as an experimental hub to assist tyrants refine their totalitarian methods. Thus, it's not surprising that Elon Musk is now under investigation after stepping in to denounce the sweeping censorship efforts in the country and protect its citizens' rights.

Nerd narrative

There's a 2% chance that Elon Musk will hold major political office in the United States before February 2033, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Ukraine: UN Urges Restraint After Attack on Nuclear Power Plant

The Facts

  • The UN's atomic watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), has condemned an attack on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) in Russian-controlled territory in southeastern Ukraine on Sunday.

  • Confirming that one of the plant's six reactors was hit by three drones, Rafael Grossi, the IAEA director general, said: "This cannot happen. I firmly appeal to military decision makers to abstain from any action violating the basic principles that protect nuclear facilities."


The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine had no involvement whatsoever in the attacks at the ZNPP. Russia, which is known to use false-flag operations, bears sole responsibility. The nuclear power plant would never have been put in danger if Russia hadn't launched an unprovoked war on Ukraine.

Pro-Russia narrative

This a dangerous provocation on Ukraine's part — a fact verified by on-site IAEA staff who witnessed the attacks. This is a very dangerous tactic which risks tremendous long term consequences. The Kiev regime, unfortunately, is continuing its terrorist activity.

Pro-establishment narrative

Irrespective of who was to blame for this incident, attacks like this on a nuclear power plant — the largest on the European continent at that — simply cannot be allowed to happen. There are basic principles of war that have to be abided by all sides involved in the conflict.

Nerd narrative

There is a 5% chance that there will be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine by 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Trump: $50.5M Raised From Palm Beach Fundraiser

The Facts

  • Former US Pres. Donald Trump's campaign and the Republican National Committee (RNC) announced they raised $50.5M at Saturday's Trump 2024 campaign event in Palm Beach, Florida.

  • That's nearly double the approximately $26M raised by incumbent Democratic Pres. Joe Biden at an event alongside former presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama in March, and is a record for the most raised at a single event.


The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

It's no surprise Trump's circle of morally corrupt billionaires wish to see one of their own back in power. Those at the top of America's food chain have no respect for genuine law and order and are more than willing to send an alleged criminal to the White House if it's to their benefit. While many average Americans continue falling for Trump's lies, it's the oligarchy that the former president truly serves.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's historic night embarrassed the pitiful sum raised by Biden last month, and now Democrats are panicking. While the establishment elite will hypocritically continue accusing Trump of being in the pockets of big-money donors, the statistics don't lie — Americans of all stripes are sending a clear message of rejection to the Biden administration.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Trump will be elected US president in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Peter Pellegrini Wins Slovakia Presidential Elections

The Facts

  • Former Slovakian prime minister and current parliamentary Speaker Peter Pellegrini won the country's presidential election on Saturday, defeating former foreign minister Ivan Korčok in a second round of voting.

  • According to Slovakia's statistical office, Pellegrini received 53.1% of the vote compared to 46.9% in favor of Korčok. Pellegrini received the most votes in seven out of the country's eight regions.


The Spin

Right narrative

Pellegrini's win signifies support for Fico's people-first agenda and a rejection of the self-serving establishment elite. Slovakia has voted for change in a presidential election that was not about Ukraine but a fight between conservatism and liberalism. Albeit a mistake to call either Pellegrini or Fico pro-Russian politicians, and Slovakia remains a NATO member, the country must maintain its national sovereignty and prioritize peace in Eastern Europe above all.

Left narrative

Having used the fear of war as a central theme in his campaign — viciously spreading populist hatred and paranoia — Pellegrini's win in Slovakia's presidential election will only further undermine the country's democratic rule of law, cementing pro-Russian Prime Minister Fico's influence over the country. The sad reality is that, with Pellegrini as president, Slovakia no longer contains a single major figure in power who will stand up against Russia's invasion of Ukraine and fight for what is right.

Nerd narrative

There's a 1% chance that any member state will leave the Eurozone before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Trump: Abortion Rights a 'State Issue'

The Facts

  • In a video Monday, former Pres. Donald Trump, the presumptive GOP nominee for the 2024 presidential election, said abortion rights should be left up to legislation at the state level and "whatever they decide must be the law of the land, and in this case, the law of the state."

  • Trump added, "it is all about the will of the people" in the video, which was posted on his Truth Social platform.


The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump has skillfully struck a balance on this issue. He's moderating the party's viewpoint in an effort to court enough voters that help Republicans defeat Democrats in elections and create the culture Republicans want. Trump also hasn't ruled out a potential week federal ban once he's in office.

Republican narrative

Trump is rarely wrong, but he's missing the mark by not fighting harder for a federal limit on late-term abortions that's popular in polling. This isn't about geography, it's about protecting the life of an unborn child, and polling shows a limit of 15 weeks at minimum is what the American people want. Trump should rethink his stance.

Democratic narrative

Trump's announcement is incoherent and leaves numerous unanswered questions, including whether he would sign a federal ban and what his position is on medical abortion. No one is going to forget his role in overturning Roe — which he brags about — or the restrictions that decision brought, so he's not fooling anyone with this video.

Nerd narrative

There's a 4% chance that elective abortion will be banned nationally in the United States before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

UK: Truss Leads Campaign to End NHS Puberty Blocker Loophole

The Facts

  • Despite the government banning puberty blockers for minors last month, a loophole in the law still allows the National Health Service (NHS) England to prescribe them to children under "exceptional circumstances."

  • The ban on puberty blockers, which block the production of hormones that cause puberty and are mostly used by children who want to change genders, came after the NHS found "not enough evidence" of their safety and efficacy.


The Spin

Right narrative

Society has been brainwashed into thinking puberty blockers are a safe and mainstream treatment because the data on risks has been hidden. But many of those who resort to puberty blockers end up regretting it. More must be done to prevent vulnerable children from being pushed into these treatments by radical ideologues — transgenderism is a political movement with serious medical consequences.

Left narrative

Puberty blocking is a far more nuanced matter than its opponents want to admit. These drugs have been safely prescribed for other medical issues for decades, and they've also been used to improve the mental health of transgender children, including in dire circumstances. While we still need more robust studies on the matter, that doesn't mean that puberty blockers should be banned for every child suffering from gender dysphoria.

See sources

Ohio Officials Warn Biden Could Be Left Off Ballot

The Facts

  • A letter obtained by ABC News from the legal counsel of Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose to Ohio Democratic Party Chair Liz Walters describes how a scheduling issue could jeopardize Pres. Joe Biden’s access to Ohio's general election ballot in November.

  • The letter points out that the Democratic National Convention's date of Aug. 19, 2024, occurs past the state's Aug. 7 deadline to certify presidential candidates.


The Spin

Republican narrative

Democrats have been so preoccupied with trying to keep former president and presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump off presidential ballots that they've forgotten to keep up with standard ballot access procedures. Democrats did this to themselves and now they're reliant on the sympathies of Republicans. It's karmic payback for what Democrats have tried to do to Trump.

Democratic narrative

The GOP is trying to make a mountain out of a molehill and it would be a truly dirty trick if it dragged its feet here and caused the president to be excluded from November's ballot. This problem has arisen in the past and the legislature did the right thing. Doing the wrong thing here might even bring blowback to Republicans, so they should take the high road.

Nerd narrative

There's a 95% chance that the Republican nominee for president will win Ohio in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

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