Climate-skeptic narrative

Climate forecasting has systematically overpredicted warming for three decades while demanding massive economic sacrifices that kill people through energy scarcity and higher costs. The entire agenda functions as a money laundering scheme, replacing fossil fuel profits with government-subsidized renewable investments that enrich corporations while ignoring that Earth remains far colder than historical norms.

Climate-concerned narrative

The 1.5°C threshold has been breached over three years, driven by rising greenhouse gas levels, marking a dangerous climate breakdown that threatens food systems, water supplies and human civilization itself. Rapid fossil fuel elimination remains urgent as extreme weather escalates, yet progress remains devastatingly slow despite renewable energy offering economic benefits and energy security.

Optimist narrative

Climate change is real, but it is manageable through innovation and human progress. The focus should be on improving lives, not fear. Advances in renewables, electric vehicles, and nuclear energy have already cut projected emissions by over 40%. Lowering the Green Premium and investing in affordable zero-carbon technologies can help the world adapt and thrive while continuing the progress already underway.

Narrative D

The science of climate is evolving as rapidly as the climate itself. Traditional models that focused narrowly on carbon now struggle to explain complex processes such as the water cycle, forests' roles, and biosphere feedbacks. Emphasis should be on a biosphere-centered understanding in which forests and moisture dynamics shape climate stability as much as greenhouse gases — reshaping how we study and address global change.

Nerd narrative

There's a 45% chance that large-scale solar radiation management will be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Yoon's martial law declaration was a calculated attempt to establish a dictatorship and seize total state power, making it a constitutional crime that demands harsher punishment than past military coups to prevent future attacks on democracy. The death penalty is necessary because elite officials who violate the constitutional order pose an ongoing threat that must be met with the strictest accountability.

Narrative B

Yoon's martial law was a brief, symbolic warning about pro-CCP and North Korean influence within the opposition Democratic Party, not a power grab. Troops carried no ammunition, didn't block parliament's vote, and withdrew within hours. The death penalty demand is politically motivated retaliation meant to silence legitimate national security concerns about foreign interference rather than pursue proportionate justice.

Narrative C

No one, including a former president, is above the law — but pursuing the death penalty would be a step backward. The death penalty demand against Yoon is a cruel and irreversible punishment that contradicts the very human rights principles that the justice system claims to uphold. Pursuing execution undermines human dignity and the rule of law, turning accountability into political revenge rather than justice.

Nerd narrative

There's a 1% chance that former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol will be convicted of any criminal charges before Jan. 16, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Anti-Iran narrative

Iran's desperate regime is now resorting to executing protesters after sham trials, stripping citizens of basic legal rights for the crime of dissent. These executions draw the red line — the moment Washington needs to move from outrage to U.S. military intervention as a last resort, cast as unavoidable. Thousands have been killed or detained under shoot-to-kill orders and internet blackouts meant to bury the violence. The bloodshed is an unforgivable crime against humanity, deliberately echoing the regime’s mass killings of the 1980s to legitimize escalation.

Pro-Iran narrative

The U.S. is manufacturing a pretext for military intervention and regime change by ignoring rioters' shocking violence — including public lynchings, mosque burnings, and gunmen opening fire — while relying on regime-change networks to inflate death tolls. Western media's one-sided portrayal deliberately obscures that these are not peaceful protesters but violent insurrectionists backed by Mossad and U.S. intelligence. Trump and Netanyahu are the real killers of Iranians, having slaughtered over a thousand civilians during their day military aggression in June 2025.

Establishment-critical narrative

Iran's crackdown is brutal, and sham trials followed by executions deliver the images that everyone, especially the White House, has been waiting for. Death turns into leverage, outrage into policy momentum. The same powers in Washington that flattened cities elsewhere now speak the language of restraint, until escalation suits their interests. The Trump administration can now control the narrative — all of this just shows how efficiently violence can be translated into an excuse to attack.

Nerd narrative

There is a 19% chance that Iran will possess a nuclear weapon before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-government narrative

Temporary internet restrictions ahead of elections protect vote integrity and democratic stability as Uganda consolidates its transition to middle-income country status. Security agencies disrupt coordinated cyber operations targeting results transmission, vote-tallying systems, and election management infrastructure. This protection effort prevents manipulation at a decisive moment, when the credibility of the outcome underpins Uganda’s economic and political ascent.

Government-critical narrative

Shutting down the internet ahead of elections is a blatant assault on press freedom and democratic participation. Security forces are beating and arresting journalists covering opposition rallies, detaining activists, and suspending human rights organizations that document abuses. This coordinated repression is designed to eliminate scrutiny at a decisive democratic moment — precisely when citizens most need access to information, transparency, and independent reporting.

Nerd narrative

There is a 14% chance that an East African Federation will exist and govern before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-government narrative

The BIS's revised export policy strikes the right balance between national security and economic reality through its rigorous standards. By requiring certification of sufficient domestic supply and mandating robust security procedures, this approach protects key American interests while maintaining the commercial viability of its technology sector by permitting it to trade with China.

Government-critical narrative

Allowing NVIDIA to export H200 chips to China is a dangerous betrayal of American interests and national security. The decision abandons the administration's America First principles by handing coveted U.S. technology to its greatest geopolitical rival, reducing America's lead in the AI race while simultaneously strengthening China's technological capabilities and military power.

Nerd narrative

There is a 4% chance that any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 will be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

Renewing the strategic partnership with China makes economic sense for Canada. As the world's second-largest economy and Canada's second-largest trading partner, a pragmatic relationship with Beijing creates greater stability and prosperity. This signals a mature diplomatic approach on Canada's part.

Right narrative

Pivoting toward China means embracing an authoritarian dictatorship that threatens Canadian sovereignty through election meddling, secret police stations and Arctic incursions. Trading American democracy for a Chinese dictatorship abandons Canadian values for a regime that crushes dissent.

Narrative C

Trump's reckless "Donroe Doctrine" is catastrophically backfiring. His threats to seize Canada as a 51st state and his brutal Venezuela intervention have shattered old alliances, driving Ottawa into Beijing's arms. What should have been the U.S.'s most reliable partner now seeks refuge with its greatest rival.

Nerd narrative

There is a 4% chance the U.S. will annex any part of Canada before June 3, 2072, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

Cutting federal funding to jurisdictions that refuse to enforce immigration law isn't punitive — it's basic accountability. Sanctuary cities shield criminals and gang members while demanding billions in taxpayer money, creating safe havens for violent offenders and drug traffickers. States that side with lawlessness forfeit their right to federal subsidies.

Democratic narrative

Withholding congressionally approved federal funds from entire states because of disagreements over immigration policy is blatantly unconstitutional and illegal. This authoritarian move would devastate families and local economies while violating the separation of powers. Fighting this lawless overreach in courts and Congress is essential.

Nerd narrative

There's a 49% chance that the United States will establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before Jan. 3, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

NATO should support America's acquisition of Greenland because the alliance would be far more formidable with the territory under U.S. control. Greenland is essential for the Golden Dome missile defense system and protecting against Russian and Chinese military threats in the Arctic. Denmark's weak military presence proves that only the U.S. can properly defend this strategically vital territory.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump's imperial threats toward Greenland represent a reckless destabilization of Arctic cooperation that has shattered decades of diplomatic progress. His scorched-earth approach has done more damage to regional security than Russia or China could have dreamed of, undermining Indigenous sovereignty and NATO alliances alike. The Arctic's future depends on respecting Greenlandic self-determination, not treating the island as real estate to plunder for minerals.

Pro-establishment narrative

Trump's decisive leadership has delivered historic results in Gaza, successfully maintaining the ceasefire, returning all living hostages and 27 deceased hostages while providing unprecedented humanitarian aid. Phase Two now launches a technocratic Palestinian administration to demilitarize Gaza and begin reconstruction, with Egypt, Turkey and Qatar's indispensable mediation creating a genuine path toward stability and peace.

Pro-Israel narrative

Phase Two promises “demilitarization,” but Hamas will never disarm voluntarily. It has proven this again and again, attacking even as negotiations continue. Words, warnings and deadlines mean nothing to an armed movement built for war. Only overwhelming, credible force can end Hamas’ grip. Ignoring that reality just guarantees more attacks — and more empty threats.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Israel has violated the ceasefire over 1,190 times, killing more than 400 Palestinians and blocking critical aid despite claims of "historic humanitarian assistance." The Trump plan serves Israeli expansionist objectives by providing diplomatic cover for ethnic cleansing while ignoring Palestinian rights and Israel's obligations as an occupying power to allow unimpeded aid deliveries.

Narrative D

Phase Two cannot move forward while even one hostage remains behind. Advancing now abandons the last real leverage to bring Ran Gvili home and betrays the families promised he would not be left behind. Diplomacy that trades urgency for process risks turning captivity into permanent disappearance. No reconstruction or transition is legitimate until the final hostage returns.