In major setback for Trump, appeals court ends special master's review of seized Mar-a-Lago records
NBCJUL 2022
The Spin
Pro-Trump narrative
Trump's legal team hasn't been treated within their legal rights throughout this entire convoluted mess created by the DOJ. Under the pretense of "national security interest," they've been denied access to the warrant's contents and its probable cause affidavit. How can we know if Trump's fourth Amendment rights were violated if the DOJ isn't required to produce the legal basis of the warrant?
Democratic narrative
The decision is a decisive defeat for Trump and is unlikely to be overturned in the event of an appeal. It's not surprising given the justified skepticism of the mostly-Trump-appointed panel, which rightly resisted the former president's attempts to secure preferential treatment.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 16% chance that Trump will be jailed or incarcerated before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
