COP29 Set to Convene Following Trump Reelection

Above: A sign for COP29, the United Nations Climate Change Conference, is on display in Baku on November 3, 2024 in Baku, Azerbaijan. Image copyright: Aziz Karimov/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

The election of Trump, who has frequently labelled climate change a hoax and plans to roll back many of the agreements underpinning efforts to slow down man-made emissions, is simply a disaster for the environment. Nonetheless, the climate movement has been here before and will continue to push forward with plans to mitigate the risks.

Right narrative

It's simply a con to suggest that all of the world's scientists agree on the complex set of variables causing the world to warm. It is disputed that man-made emissions are the driving cause behind these trends and it's not clear whether recent measures have had any impact other than to curtail the world's economies. Trump's reelection will ring in a new era of common sense when it comes to climate policy.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that global warming will reach at least 2.9℃ above pre-industrial levels by Jan. 1, 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Public Figures


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