NATO Chief Calls for 'Wartime Mindset' With Increased Spending

Above: NATO's Secretary General Mark Rutte during a Foreign Ministers' meeting at NATO headquarters in Brussels, on Dec. 3, 2024. Image copyright: Omar Havana/Contributor/AFP/Getty Images via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

With Western security at its most precarious in decades, and Russia actively preparing for long-term confrontation, NATO remains underprepared. With nine members of the alliance still failing to reach the 2% target, substantial increases in defense spending are essential to protect democratic values and way of life in the face of growing international threats.

Establishment-critical narrative

NATO has increasingly become a tool for perpetuating Western hegemony under the guise of global security. Its actions often contradict international law, as seen in unilateral interventions like the 1999 Kosovo campaign and the 2003 Iraq War. Furthermore, its eastward expansion stokes tensions with rival powers — prioritizing confrontation over diplomacy, and undermining global stability.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 25% chance that combat troops from any NATO country will be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO