Reputed Peruvian Gang Leader Arrested in Upstate New York

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The Spin

Republican narrative

Thanks to the Biden administration's loose border policies, a violent gang leader with a kill count of 23 was able to stroll into the US and be allowed to go on his way with just a mere notice. Democrats have failed on the southern border, and the story of Torres-Navarro demonstrates why immigration must be a major issue in the presidential race — especially as Kamala Harris pushes for decriminalizing illegal crossings.

Democratic narrative

While edge cases such as this one are sure to dominate headlines, the reality is that migrants are not contributing to crime in the US in a meaningful sense. Illegal immigration must be curbed, no doubt, but it is a myth promulgated by the GOP that those making the trek to the US are criminals coming to wreak havoc. We should applaud law enforcement for acting swiftly and in cooperation with their international partners.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that the rate of immigration enforcement in the US in 2024, as a percentage of removals to encounters, will be at least 6%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Political split

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