Pentagon: US Navy Warship Intercepts Missiles Near Yemen

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The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The risk of direct US involvement in the Israel-Hamas war is higher than most people may think. Though Washington claims to want to avoid direct involvement in the region, miscalculations, missed signals, and a change in events on the ground could see US forces become directly involved.

Pro-establishment narrative

Biden's support for Israel and its military response to Hamas in Gaza shouldn't be misinterpreted as US intentions to join a war in the Middle East. Washington is simply attempting to avoid escalation in the region and is making efforts to stop the conflict from spiraling into a full-blown war.

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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