Israel, Palestine Report Progress Towards Gaza Cease-fire

Israel, Palestine Report Progress Towards Gaza Cease-fire
Above: Palestinians leave their homes with their belongings in the Shuja'iyya neighborhood east of Gaza City on Dec. 23, 2024. Image copyright: Dawoud Abo Alkas/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Following fresh mediation efforts from Egypt, Qatar, and the US, both sides have reported progress towards a cease-fire deal, and hopes that the so-far elusive deal will be agreed upon are rising.

Establishment-critical narrative

This is now a familiar strategy from Israel's Netanyahu — feigning progress in talks before sabotaging them at the last minute. He has no desire to reach a deal before US Pres.-elect Donald Trump comes into office.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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