Israel to Withdraw Some Troops from Gaza

Israel to Withdraw Some Troops from Gaza
Image copyright: Spencer Platt/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Though, of course, Israel has a right to dismantle Hamas's military capabilities, it must wage this war in a humane way. The number of civilians being killed will only galvanize Palestinians to oppose peace, pushing them into the arms of Hamas. A more thorough and surgical campaign is now needed to eliminate Hamas's leadership in Gaza, as Israel is losing global support.

Pro-Israel narrative

Though this has been a tragic war, Israel cannot allow Hamas to survive. Israel's strategy has gained control over large swaths of the Gaza Strip, and considering growing internal and external pressure on the Israeli government to wind down its combat operations, it is appropriate for its forces to reorient their military posture to a less intense phase of fighting. Despite this development, however, Hamas's military capabilities still must be eliminated so that the group can never launch a terrorist attack like Oct. 7 again.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Israel continues to demonstrate that its war is not against Hamas but against the Palestinian people as a whole. Nowhere in Gaza is safe, and Israel has effectively rendered the north of the strip unlivable. Israel is killing Palestinians at an unprecedented rate and clearly wants to make the Gaza Strip uninhabitable. Though the US — Israel's biggest ally — wants to minimize the war's intensity, it must instead exert more pressure to end the war completely.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!