Mike Johnson, Trump Convening at Mar-a-Lago

Mike Johnson, Trump Convening at Mar-a-Lago
Image copyright: Chip Somodevilla/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Republican narrative

On top of not being the solution, ousting Mike Johnson from speakership would effectively be counterproductive. After the chaos that followed Rep. Matt Gaetz's motion to remove Kevin McCarthy, the GOP cannot afford more turmoil ahead of an already uphill battle in the 2024 election.

Conservative narrative

Mike Johnson has already abandoned his constituents to work alongside the Democrats, so what's the point in worrying about how his removal could impact future House leadership? As it stands, it would be better — or at least less harmful — for Republicans to vote him out and prevent further bad legislation.

Metaculus Prediction



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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