Report: US Reaches Deal to Extend Military Presence at Qatar Base

Image copyright: US Air Force [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Over the past twenty years, American operations across the Middle East have shown the importance of the US military footprint in Qatar. Therefore, it's highly positive that the US will be able to continue operating out of Al Udeid for another decade, especially amid escalating conflicts with Iranian-backed militias and regional instability in general.

Establishment-critical narrative

Though America should have been adjusting its overseas basing to be able to address current needs, Washington apparently is unable to abandon a framework that worked in the past. It's certain that Al Udeid was an asset to fight the Taliban, but it's unlike that Doha will ever allow the US to use the base in any operation against Iran and its proxy militias.

Metaculus Prediction


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