Teamsters Won't Endorse in 2024 Presidential Race

Teamsters Won't Endorse in 2024 Presidential Race
Above: Teamsters president Sean O'Brien speaks at the 2024 Republican National Convention. Image copyright: Bloomberg/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Facts

  • The International Brotherhood of Teamsters, one of the largest labor unions in the US with 1.3M members, Wednesday announced it will not be endorsing anyone for the 2024 presidential election.

  • In addition, the Teamsters released a national electronic poll showing that its rank-and-file members favor former Pres. Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, over Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, 59.6% to 34%.

  • The Teamsters have endorsed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 1996 and haven't endorsed a Republican since George H.W. Bush in 1988. Earlier this year, Teamsters president Sean O'Brien accepted an invitation to speak at the Republican National Convention.

The Spin

Republican narrative

This is a de facto endorsement for Trump and a disaster for Harris. The Teamsters' polling showed loud and clear that the rank-and-file want their union to endorse Trump because the former president is the only candidate who will stand up and fight for them. O'Brien can ignore the will of his members, but Trump won't forget them.

Democratic narrative

Harris and Pres. Joe Biden have formed the most pro-union administration in US history, while Trump's anti-labor policies are well-known. Still, O'Brien is hedging his bets. Embarrassingly for him, many local and state affiliates have voiced their support for Harris.

Metaculus Prediction




Go Deeper


Political split

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RIGHT

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