Trump's Criminal Cases

Trump's Criminal Cases
Above: Former Pres. Donald Trump in Manhattan Criminal Court in May 2024. Image copyright: Steven Hirsch/Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Democratic narrative

Trump's conviction in the New York business fraud case was a monumental moment, as the courts proved that no one — not even a former president — is above the law. However, Trump's nomination to the top of the Republican presidential ticket, despite the numerous other legal cases against him and his alleged role in the Jan. 6 riots, threatens the justice system and democracy as Americans have come to know it. While the SCOTUS immunity decision granted wide leeway for all presidents, Trump will be particularly dangerous in the aftermath of that ruling.

Republican narrative

Democrats will do anything to win the next election, and they know the only chance they have is if they imprison their biggest rival. But this is a witch hunt — coordinated from the White House down to the weaponized Justice Department and beyond. The authoritarian Biden administration, however, is failing to stop Trump, who remains popular. Trump's conviction only increased his popularity and fundraising haul. Leftist lawfare is backfiring on the Democrats, and Trump will repair the broken justice system once he returns to the presidency.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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