China Conducts Surprise Live-Fire Drills in Taiwan Strait

China Conducts Surprise Live-Fire Drills in Taiwan Strait
Above: A general view of a public big screen broadcasting news about China's military drills around Taiwan outside a shopping mall in Beijing on April 1, 2025. Image copyright: Adek Berry/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-China narrative

The military exercises represent necessary and legitimate actions to safeguard China's sovereignty and national unity. These drills highlight the PLA's enhanced capabilities to conduct joint operations and serve as a deterrent against separatist forces. The more Taiwan pushes for independence, the stronger the military response will be.

Anti-China narrative

China's aggressive military activities near Taiwan are irresponsible and only serve to exacerbate regional tensions. These intimidation tactics undermine cross-strait peace and stability, and risk global security and prosperity. The international community opposes any unilateral attempts to change the status quo by force.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!