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Google DeepMind Co-Founder Predicts AGI By 2028

  • #Computers & internet
  • #Artificial Intelligence
  • #Research
  • #United States of America
Google DeepMind Co-Founder Predicts AGI By 2028
story
JAN 22
Above: Shane Legg attends "The Thinking Game" premiere during the 2024 Tribeca Festival at BMCC Theater on June 7, 2024, in New York City. Image copyright: Theo Wargo/Staff/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images for Tribeca Festival
story last updated JAN 23

The Spin

Narrative A

Whether these apocalyptic predictions come true or not, it's not in anyone's best interest to allow tech executives to control the future of AGI development. If achieved, the advent of smarter-than-human intelligence will bring severe consequences to most people with no say in its creation. The world, not just tech companies, should have a say in how these technological endeavors proceed.

X

Narrative B

Those sounding the alarm over AGI are important voices in this debate, but their doom-and-gloom predictions should not overwhelm public discourse. AGI has the ability to both harm and help the world, which is why these technologies should be developed quickly by well-intentioned developers before bad actors have a chance to. The sooner these technologies are developed, the sooner they can be studied and tweaked to achieve optimal outcomes.

Aei

Narrative C

The problem with listening to high-level AI executives is that they have a history of flip-flopping on this issue. There are many potential reasons for this, including using hyperbolic language to promote their products or as a PR stunt aimed at keeping the government from regulating them. The most important thing the public can do is listen to invested and independent voices and judge them on the merit of their claims.

Garrisonlovely

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Geoffrey Hinton

Shane Legg


The Controversies


LOWHIGH
Status:Open
Does AI Pose an Existential Threat to Humanity?
Controversy
JAN 23JAN 23

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will AI Bring Economic Risks?
Controversy
JAN 23JAN 23

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will AI Replace All Jobs?
Controversy
JAN 23JAN 23

NOT SOONSOON
Status:Open
Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?
Controversy
JAN 23JAN 23

Go Deeper

Artificial Intelligence
Context
+4
MAR 2023MAR 2023

Articles on this story

Google DeepMind AI reveals potential for thousands of new materials
One AmericaJUL 2023
Google DeepMind AI reveals potential for thousands of new materials
ReutersJUL 2023