Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
MetaculusOCT 26 2024
China Rebukes G7 Over Latest Joint Statements
Above: EU's Kaja Kallas, Japan's Takeshi Iwaya, UK's David Lammy, France's Jean-Noel Barrot, Canada's Melanie Joly, US' Marco Rubio, Germany's Annalena Baerbock, and Italy's Antonio Tajani at the G7 foreign ministers' meeting in Canada, on March 13, 2025. Image copyright: Renaud Philippe/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-China narrative
These accusations mischaracterize facts and truth to meddle in China's internal affairs. Taiwan is a purely internal issue, and the situation in the South China Sea remains stable with freedom of navigation never being an issue. It's about time for the G7 nations to abandon their Cold War mentality and stop creating confrontation and division.
Anti-China narrative
Stronger language and the omission of conciliatory references such as to the "one China" policy represent a strategic shift to counter Beijing's increasing military aggression and coercive actions. A firmer stance against China was much needed. The PRC poses serious threats to regional stability and international order.