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Israel Ratifies Hamas Cease-Fire Deal

  • #Armed conflict
  • #Israel
  • #Palestine
  • #United States of America
Israel Ratifies Hamas Cease-Fire Deal
story
JAN 17
Above: People react to the reports of a possible Gaza cease-fire and hostage release deal during a rally on Jan. 15, 2025, in Tel Aviv, Israel. Image copyright: Amir Levy/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated JAN 18

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Though Hamas, in many cases, was the main obstacle to achieving an end to this terrible war, the Biden admin. is proud of its role in mediating. With a deal agreed upon, the hostages will return home and Israel will be more secure. Though Israel has had to make hard decisions, it will be worth it when peace is finally achieved.

CNN

Pro-Israel narrative

Though Israel wants nothing more than to see all the hostages released, this deal may not be in the country's best interest. In the past, Palestinian prisoners released by Israel have played critical roles in terrorist plots against the country. Indeed, Yahya Sinwar, Hamas' slain leader, was a security prisoner released in an exchange deal. Israel may pay for this deal in blood many years down the road.

Jerusalem Post

Pro-Palestine narrative

Though a cease-fire is long overdue, Gaza has been destroyed. Indeed, the Israel-Palestinian "conflict" is not over, and Israel's occupation and apartheid system will remain. However, this war has proved that the Palestinian cause cannot be dealt with via security measures or normalization agreements between Arab autocrats and Israel. Regardless of what happens next, Palestinians will continue to struggle for their liberation.

Middle East Eye

Narrative D

In the eternally unpredictable Middle East, there's no certainty that the deal will go as planned or the bloodshed will end immediately. Since it's the result of the political infighting in the US, the cease-fire is likely to fail by Sunday. Nonetheless, the solution isn't a temporary pause in fighting but a just and lasting settlement for Palestinians and Israelis alike.

GuardianAl Jazeera

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies


Status:Open
Who Will Control the Gaza Strip After the Israel-Gaza War?
Controversy
+18
JAN 18JAN 18

Status:Open
Who Will Control the West Bank After the Israel-Gaza War?
Controversy
+5
JAN 18JAN 18

Status:Open
When Will Benjamin Netanyahu Cease to Be Prime Minister of Israel?
Controversy
+13
JAN 18JAN 18

Status:Open
When Will the Gaza War End?
Controversy
+9
JAN 18JAN 18

Go Deeper

The Israel-Palestine Conflict
Context
+10
JUN 27JUN 27

Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

Israel-Hamas ceasefire live updates: Israeli security cabinet voting on deal
NBCJAN 16
Israel’s attacks on reproductive healthcare in Gaza ‘genocidal’: UN probe
Al JazeeraMAR 16
Live updates: Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, ceasefire and hostage deal reached
CNNJAN 16

More neutral establishment stance articles

Netanyahu Approves Hostage Deal for Vote by Security Cabinet
BreitbartJAN 16