Israeli Cabinet Approves Expanding Gaza War If Deal Isn't Made During Trump Visit

Israeli Cabinet Approves Expanding Gaza War If Deal Isn't Made During Trump Visit
Above: People walk past damaged buildings and makeshift market stalls in the al-Rimal neighborhood of Gaza City on May 4, 2025. Image copyright:  Saeed Jaras/Contributor/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The return to war will not save the hostages. Furthermore, Israel's policy of blocking aid from entering Gaza is creating widespread starvation across the strip. Both sides need to make concessions so that the ceasefire can be fully implemented and the hostages are returned.

Pro-Israel narrative

Israel has worked tirelessly to find a solution to this conflict, but, after a year and a half, time is running out for a diplomatic solution. If Hamas does not agree to release the hostages during Trump's visit to the region, Israel will conquer all of Gaza. To protect civilians and ensure that aid is provided without Hamas' interference, food and other necessities will be delivered via private contractors.

Pro-Palestine narrative

It should be clear after over a year of grinding brutality that Israel's true goal is to destroy Gaza and starve its people. Indeed, starvation is an integral part of Israel's genocidal campaign. Children are on the verge of starving to death in their mothers' arms, yet the United States and international community have failed to end this travesty.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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