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Trump Denies Report He Approved Plan to Attack Iran

  • #Israel
  • #Iran
  • #United States of America
  • #Armed conflict
Trump Denies Report He Approved Plan to Attack Iran
story
JUN 19
Above: Smoke billows from Soroka Hospital in Beersheba in southern Israel following an Iranian missile attack on June 19, 2025. Image copyright: John Wessels/AFP via Getty Images
story last updated JUN 20

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Trump is playing his cards close to his chest. Given the possibility of U.S. action against Iran, the president is correct to withhold information that could give America's adversaries time to prepare for and counter U.S. strategies. In the meantime, Iran should negotiate to surrender its nuclear program to prevent the conflict from escalating further.

Youtube

Pro-Israel narrative

Israel's efforts against the Iranian regime are dismantling the country's offensive infrastructure one step at a time. The latest strikes on the Arak reactor and a nuclear weapons facility have significantly set back the regime's nuclear program and its ability to strike Israeli civilians. Israel will wage its campaign until Iran no longer poses a threat to Israeli security.

X

Pro-Iran narrative

The Islamic Republic of Iran has never kowtowed to U.S. pressure and will not start to do so now. Trump's belligerent rhetoric and shameful threats towards Iran and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei only strengthen Iran's resolve not to negotiate or acquiesce to an unfavorable peace under duress. Iran will instead respond to any threat or action against it in equal measure.

X

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Donald Trump

Iran's Permanent Mission to the UN

IDF


The Controversies


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Status:Open
Will The US Take Over Gaza?
Controversy
JUN 19JUN 19

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will There Be a US-Iran War?
Controversy
JUN 19JUN 19

Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

Israel’s military warns people to evacuate the area around Iran’s Arak heavy water reactor
Associated PressJUN 20
Trump approved attack plans for Iran — but hasn't made a final decision to strike
CBSJUN 20
‘Nobody knows what I’m going to do’: Trump embraces ambiguity towards Iran
Al JazeeraJUN 20
Israel blitzes Iran suburb where Ayatollah is 'hiding in bunker' as Trump warns 'no one knows what I will do' as he considers joining war
Daily MailJUN 20
Trump says moments before Situation Room meeting that he hasn’t made a final decision about striking Iran — but will ‘one second before’
New York PostJUN 20
Trump keeps everyone guessing on whether hell go to war in Iran perhaps including himself
CNNJUN 20
Trump denies report that he has approved US attack plans against Iran
GuardianJUN 20
Trump Privately Approved of Attack Plans for Iran but Has Withheld Final Order
Wall Street JournalJUN 20
Iran Israel Conflict News
Wall Street JournalJUN 20