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Issuing tariff refunds isn't that difficult now that the Supreme Court ruled the tariffs unlawful. Existing administrative procedures can handle refunds just like the IRS processes hundreds of billions annually — and the government can return the $175 billion immediately with interest.
The Supreme Court ruling was narrowly tailored and changed nothing about tariff revenue or trade deals. Alternative legal authorities will allow the same tariff levels to continue, meaning that foreign trading partners will keep their negotiated deals and projected tariff revenues will remain unchanged for 2026.