The U.S. has burned through European trust so thoroughly that no diplomatic charm offensive can rebuild it. Europe has already recalibrated — building independent defense capacity, diversifying suppliers and treating Washington as an unreliable partner. The real work now is constructing institutions strong enough that American loyalty becomes irrelevant, because betting on a stable U.S. commitment is a losing strategy.
European "strategic autonomy" is a fantasy that evaporates the moment real security decisions get made. Germany wouldn't send Leopard tanks to Ukraine until the U.S. committed Abrams — proving that American backing remains the irreplaceable backbone of European defense. No amount of EU institution-building changes the hard military reality that American security guarantees dwarf anything Europe can provide itself.
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