Early Retirement Speculation Surrounds GOP Rep. Neal Dunn

Is this part of a GOP exodus in the face of Trump's unpopularity or is another RINO trying to sabotage the president?
Early Retirement Speculation Surrounds GOP Rep. Neal Dunn
Above: Rep. Neal Dunn (R-Fla.) on May 15, 2020. Image credit: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc./Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

This is great news for Democrats and anyone who opposes the Trump agenda, as Dunn's retirement is another step in the mass GOP exodus driven by the party's bleak midterm prospects and collapsing morale under Johnson's failed leadership. With 28 House Republicans fleeing and Democrats needing just three seats to reclaim the majority, the writing is on the wall for a Democratic triumph in 2026.

Pro-Trump narrative

Too many turncoats who still call themselves Republicans are systematically trying to take down the president by leaving Congress. This could open up Trump to impeachment. Speaker Johnson has explicitly asked Dunn to serve out his full term, and Johnson remains confident he will stay through January 2027. Although this district is safely Republican, the seat must not be left vacant.


Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies




© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.20.4

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.20.4