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Australia Signs Security Deal With Nauru

  • #Nauru
  • #China
  • #Oceania
  • #Australia
Australia Signs Security Deal With Nauru
story
DEC 2024
Above: Australia Prime Minister Anthony Albanese Image copyright: Wagner Meier/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated JAN 3

The Spin

Narrative A

This landmark treaty is a strategic masterstroke, decisively blocking China's Pacific expansion by providing Nauru with massive economic and security support. By securing veto powers over Nauru's critical infrastructure and banking sectors, Australia is reinforcing its commitment to countering Beijing's influence in Oceania.

Herald SunThe Nightly

Narrative B

Although this treaty appears to be a checkmate to growing Chinese influence, it's premature to declare victory. Geopolitical dynamics in the Pacific remain fluid, and Beijing's strategic patience and economic allure could still yield long-term diplomatic dividends as the nations of Oceania consider their roles in a multipolar world.

The Conversation

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies


UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will China Invade Taiwan?
Controversy
JAN 3JAN 3

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will There Be a US-China War?
Controversy
JAN 3JAN 3

NO TIME SOONSOON
Status:Open
Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?
Controversy
JAN 3JAN 3

Go Deeper

The US-China Conflict
Context
+5
MAR 2023MAR 2023

Articles on this story

Nauru Switches Diplomatic Recognition From Taiwan to China
TimeAUG 2023
Nauru to sever diplomatic ties with Taiwan in favour of China
GuardianAUG 2023
Taiwan loses another diplomatic ally as Nauru recognizes China
Washington PostAUG 2023
Nauru switches diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China
Associated PressAUG 2023
Taiwan Loses Ally to China After Electing President Loathed by Beijing
New York TimesAUG 2023
Pacific nation Nauru cuts ties with Taiwan, switches to China
Al JazeeraAUG 2023
Taiwan loses diplomatic ally to Beijing
RTAUG 2023