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US Election Issue: Israel-Gaza War

  • #Israel
  • #United States of America
  • #Politics
  • #Palestine
  • #Armed conflict
US Election Issue: Israel-Gaza War
context
+2
AUG 2024
Image copyright: Verity
context last updated JAN 9

The Spin

Democratic narrative

Kamala Harris recognizes the challenge of uniting the country over the war in Gaza and understands that doing so is a key presidential duty. She has actively engaged with both pro-Israel and pro-Palestine activists, acknowledging the plight of the Palestinian people as well as the need to defeat Hamas and bring home the hostages. In swing states like Michigan, which have significant Jewish and Arab voters, Harris is resisting pressure from vocal critics on either side. If she remains balanced, she will secure broad support, contrasting with Trump's one-sided approach.

Times of Israel

Republican narrative

Harris is only pretending to be balanced, as proven by her actions. While vice president, she has advocated for a two-state solution without first addressing the threat of Hamas, indulged the false claim of Israeli genocide, and supported the Iran nuclear deal and an "immediate cease-fire." On the campaign trail, she has lent far more time to the radical faction of her party, including the anti-Israel "Squad" within Congress. Trump, in contrast, has consistently supported Israel and the Jewish people, both moving the US embassy to Jerusalem and continuously backing Israel’s defense.

Jerusalem Post

Progressive narrative

Kamala Harris has alienated a key voter base by betraying the Uncommitted movement. As the death toll in Gaza exceeds 40K, including many UN aid workers, Harris continues to support Biden's unwavering backing of Israel. If the Democratic Party wants to win, it must stop prioritizing campaign donations from Israel's AIPAC lobby — which allocated $100M to oust progressive candidates — and start listening to the anti-war progressive coalition. Americans are tired of funding genocide, and their voices will be heard at the ballot box if the status quo continues.

Responsible StatecraftAl Jazeera

Libertarian narrative

You don't have to be a progressive to see that the US government has gone too far in supporting Israel. With $3.8B in annual funding and unwavering support for a war that has killed tens of thousands, it's time for the GOP to heed George Washington’s warning against "passionate attachments" to foreign nations. Republicans have forgotten this due to both the influential Israel lobby and a misguided interpretation of scripture urging Christians to support modern Israel. Conservatives shouldn't blindly support foreign wars just because their congressmen are bought by lobbyists and are misinterpreting religious texts.

ChroniclesCato

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Joe Biden

J.D. Vance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


The Controversies


NEVERIMMINENTLY
Status:Resolved
Will Israel Expand Its Ground Invasion to Rafah?
Controversy
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Resolved
Will There Be an Israel-Hezbollah War?
Controversy
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will the Israel-Gaza War Lead to Regional Escalation?
Controversy
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Resolved
Will Iran Attack Israel?
Controversy
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will Israel Lose International Support for Its Campaign in Gaza?
Controversy
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

Status:Open
Who Will Control the Gaza Strip After the Israel-Gaza War?
Controversy
+18
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

KAMALA HARRISDONALD TRUMP
Status:Resolved
Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Controversy
SEP 12 2024SEP 12 2024

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will the Gaza War Lead to a Two-State Solution to the Israel-Palestine Conflict?
Controversy
SEP 5 2024SEP 5 2024

Go Deeper

The Israel-Palestine Conflict
Context
+10
JUN 27JUN 27
Muslim, European Nations Back Arab League Gaza Plan
Story
+13
MAR 8MAR 8
Trump Threatens to Cut College Funding Over Campus Protests
Story
+8
MAR 4MAR 4
Trump Reaffirms Gaza Plans Amid Visit from Jordan's King Abdullah II
Story
+20
FEB 12FEB 12
US Quits UNHRC, Stops Funding UNRWA
Story
+15
FEB 4FEB 4
Senate Rejects Bernie Sanders' Bids to Block Arms Sale to Israel
Story
+13
NOV 2024NOV 2024
Saudi Crown Prince Calls for End of War in Gaza, Lebanon
Story
+7
NOV 2024NOV 2024
Violence Erupts Against Israeli Soccer Fans in Amsterdam
Story
+13
NOV 2024NOV 2024
Trump Sues CBS News For $10B Over Harris Interview
Story
+13
NOV 2024NOV 2024
Harris, Trump Vying for Muslim, Arab American Votes
Story
+12
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Tulsi Gabbard Announces Switch to GOP
Story
+12
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Poll: Trump Leads Harris Among Arab Americans
Story
+7
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Harris Claims Her Presidency Would 'Not Be a Continuation' of Biden's
Story
+7
OCT 2024OCT 2024
US Election Issue: Iran
Context
+17
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Democrats Claim Green Party's Jill Stein 'Spoiler for Trump' in New Ad
Story
+5
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Vance, Walz Face Off in VP Debate
Story
+6
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Israel Launches 'Limited' Ground Raids in Lebanon
Story
+32
OCT 2024OCT 2024
Israel Says Target of Beirut Strike Hezbollah Leader Hassan Nasrallah
Story
+6
SEP 2024SEP 2024
Biden Gives Last Address to UN General Assembly
Story
+6
SEP 2024SEP 2024
US Election: 'Uncommitted' Group Declines to Endorse
Story
+5
SEP 2024SEP 2024
UN Resolution Asks Israel to End 'Unlawful Presence' in Palestine
Story
+11
SEP 2024SEP 2024
Biden Administration Grants Egypt $1.3B in Military Aid
Story
+2
SEP 2024SEP 2024
US Election: Trump v. Harris Pledges
Context
+5
JUL 2024JUL 2024

Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

Hezbollah and Israel Are on the Brink of War...And the Biden White House Is Silent
TownhallJUL 2024
Israel Returns Fire After Deadly Rocket From Lebanon Hits Soccer Field
New York TimesJUL 2024
Israel retaliates in Lebanon after Golan Heights rocket attack kills at least 12
CBSJUL 2024
IDF announces strikes deep in Lebanon after Golan Heights attack
Washington PostJUL 2024
Israel retaliates in Lebanon after strike on Golan Heights soccer field kills at least 12
NBCJUL 2024
Transcript: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer on "Face the Nation," July 28, 2024
CBSJUL 2024
Donald Trump Says Attack on Israel 'Almost Entire Fault' of Biden and Harris
NewsweekJUL 2024
‘Reject AIPAC’: US progressives join forces against pro-Israel lobby group
Al JazeeraMAR 2024
Harris meeting with anti-Israel 'Uncommitted' movement opens speculation about arms embargo
FOX NewsAUG 2024
Israel says it bombed Hezbollah sites deep inside Lebanon
Al JazeeraJUL 2024
Tensions high but beaches full as Lebanon readies for war
GuardianJUL 2024
Harris Doesn’t Support Arms Embargo on Israel, a Top Adviser Says
New York TimesAUG 2024
Netanyahu says Hezbollah will pay ‘heavy price’ after Golan strike kills 12
IndependentJUL 2024
Trump blames ‘weak and ineffective’ Biden, Harris for Hezbollah attacks on Israel that killed 12: ‘Cannot be forgotten’
New York PostJUL 2024
Golan heights attack: At least 11 young people killed in alleged Hezbollah attack on football pitch in Israel-occupied territory
IndependentJUL 2024
Kamala Harris’ harsh criticism of Israel is turning out to have deadly results
New York PostJUL 2024
Israel says Hezbollah will ‘pay the price’ after blaming it for attack on soccer field that killed 12
CNNJUL 2024
IDF Chief of Staff Rushes to Druze Arab Community to Show Support
BreitbartJUL 2024
Israel vows to hit 'enemy' after rocket kills 12 in annexed Golan
Raw StoryJUL 2024
Kamala Harris' Criticism of Israel Had Deadly Consequences
PJ MediaJUL 2024
Israel Says Hezbollah Will 'Pay a Price' for Strike on Soccer Field That Killed 12 Children
PJ MediaJUL 2024

More neutral political stance articles

A strike from Lebanon killed 12 youths. Could that spark war between Israel and Hezbollah?
Associated PressJUL 2024
A timeline of events leading up to Israel's Rafah offensive
NPR Online NewsMAY 2024
A look at the Gaza war protests that have emerged on US college campuses
Associated PressAPR 2024