Gaza Death Toll Revised to 62K as Netanyahu Expected to Meet with Trump

Gaza Death Toll Revised to 62K as Netanyahu Expected to Meet with Trump
Above: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu makes statements at Ben Gurion Airport ahead of his visit to Washington DC, where he will meet with US Pres. Donald Trump in Tel Aviv, Israel on Feb. 2, 2025. Image copyright: Avi Ohayon/Contributor/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Though Hamas, in many cases, was the main obstacle to achieving an end to this terrible war, the US worked hard to end this conflict. With a deal agreed upon, the hostages will return home and Israel will be more secure. Though Israel has had to make hard decisions, it will be worth it when peace is finally achieved.

Pro-Israel narrative

Though Israel wants nothing more than to see all the hostages released, this deal may not be in the country's best interest given the fact that Hamas is still in power. Moreover, Palestinian prisoners released by Israel have played critical roles in terrorist plots against the country. Indeed, Yahya Sinwar, Hamas' slain leader, was a security prisoner released in an exchange deal. Israel may pay for this deal in blood many years down the road.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Yet again, Netanyahu wants to sabotage the cease-fire in Gaza so that he can salvage his political career and placate his genocidal allies. Netanyahu will do anything and everything to convince Trump to allow him to resume the carnage, but regional dynamics, namely the desire for normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia, may push Trump toward reeling Netanyahu's ambitions in.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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