US, China Extend Trade Truce by 90 Days

US, China Extend Trade Truce by 90 Days
Above: Chinese and American flags hang above the entrance of the Peace Hotel in Shanghai, China. Image copyright: CFOTO/Future Publishing/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The tariff extension shows Trump's effective negotiating strategy is working. China has taken "significant steps" toward addressing trade imbalances and national security concerns, proving that tough tariff threats force Beijing to the bargaining table. The relationship between Trump and Xi remains strong, creating opportunities for a comprehensive deal.

Pro-China narrative

China holds significant leverage in these negotiations through its control over rare earth mineral exports and strategic materials crucial to U.S. manufacturers. Beijing sees itself in a stronger position compared to previous trade talks and will likely use this advantage to pressure Washington for concessions without making substantial changes to its own trade practices.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.13.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.13.0